Green Pool trims 2018/19 sugar surplus forecast

August 30, 2018 at 12:42 AM

LONDON, Aug 30 (Reuters) - Analyst Green Pool said on Thursday it had trimmed its forecast for an anticipated global sugar surplus in the 2018/19 season to 4.24 million tonnes, raw value, from a previous projection of 6.62 million.

"The major contributions to the drop in the 18/19 surplus estimate are the EU and CS (Centre-South) Brazil," the Australia-based analyst said in a report.

Green Pool put EU sugar output in 2018/19 at 17.7 million tonnes, white value, down from the prior season's 19.8 million.

"Ongoing hot, dry weather has now taken its toll on (EU) beet and sugar production prospects," the analyst said.
Sugar production in Centre-South Brazil was seen at 28.3 million tonnes in 2018/19, down from the previous season's 36.1 million.

"The very low mix devoted to sugar (rather than ethanol) is simply exceeding all historical norms, as millers pull out all stops to make the better paying hydrous ethanol," it said.

A huge crop in India, however, it set to keep the market in surplus with production seen at 33.5 million tonnes, tel quel, up from the prior season's already large 32.2 million.

Green Pool also raised its estimate for the global sugar surplus in 2017/18 to 19.9 million tonnes from a previous forecast of 19.6 million.

Tags: Green Pool